| Overall | 12W 9L 1T |
| District | 7W 2L 1T |
| Expected | 16: 2+ 4- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
27 6 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1093 147 Strength Momentum |
1055 56.1(22) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/21/15 | at Kirtland Central | 0.000 | 1050 | W 1- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1134 | 53% |  |
| 08/21/15 | at Aztec | 0.000 | 1155 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-3) | 934 | 40% | |
| 08/22/15 | Piedra Vista ? | 0.000 | 1001 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-2) | 986 | 64% | |
| 08/29/15 | at Aztec | 0.000 | 1155 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1035 | 40% | |
| 09/03/15 | at St. Pius | 0.001 | 1289 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-5) | 846 | 26% | |
| 09/08/15 | at Capital !! | 0.003 | 1074 | W 3- 0 | Better (+3) | 1246 | 49% | |
| 09/10/15 | at Del Norte | 0.005 | 895 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1056 | 70% | |
| 09/12/15 | Gallup | 0.003 | 581 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1182 | 93% | |
| 09/15/15 | at Hope Christian | 0.006 | 1392 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-3) | 950 | 18% | |
| 09/17/15 | at Albuquerque | 0.015 | 1514 | L 1- 4 | Expected (+1) | 1165 | 11% | |
| 09/22/15 | at Centennial ! | 0.026 | 1055 | W 4- 1 | Expected (+3) | 1236 | 52% | |
| 09/26/15 | Santa Teresa | 0.055 | 923 | W 5- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1147 | 71% | |
| 09/29/15 | Belen | 0.088 | 975 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1123 | 66% | |
| 10/03/15 | Chaparral | 0.019 | 980 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+9) | 1545 | 66% | |
| 10/07/15 | Valencia | 0.219 | 1086 | T 1- 1 | Worse (0) | 1078 | 54% | |
| 10/10/15 | Centennial | 0.214 | 1055 | L 1- 4 | Worse (-4) | 912 | 58% | |
| 10/13/15 | at Santa Teresa | 0.134 | 923 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1324 | 67% | |
| 10/16/15 | at Belen ?? | 0.466 | 975 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-2) | 996 | 61% | |
| 10/22/15 | at Chaparral | 0.629 | 980 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1098 | 61% | |
| 10/23/15 | at Valencia | 0.660 | 1086 | W 3- 2 | Better (+1) | 1151 | 48% | |
| 10/31/15 | at Centennial | 0.870 | 1055 | W 1- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1136 | 52% | |
| 11/05/15 | * Farmington | 0.951 | 1220 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1068 | 35% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Los Lunas actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1055, while
Los Lunas's "weighted playing strength" is 1097
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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